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September 29, 2019

PlanB Updates Bitcoin Prediction Model As Crypto Analysts Flip on BTC

By Daily Hodl Staff

A pair of crypto analysts are beginning to flip bullish on Bitcoin.

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Luke Martin of Venture Coinist says if past is prologue, BTC’s recent crash is linked to the expiration of CME’s Bitcoin futures, and the leading cryptocurrency is now poised to rebound.

However, he warns that if Bitcoin can’t remain above $7,800, his thesis will be invalid.

PlanB, who is well known in the crypto community for his stock-to-flow charts on Bitcoin, says a fractal analysis, which is used to identify recurring price patterns, shows Bitcoin is likely at the start of a new rally.

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“Green flipping to orange has 3 out of 3 times been bullish (yes I know n=3). Orange flipping back to green/blue is bearish.”

But not all analysts are feeling so bullish.

Josh Rager is also comparing Bitcoin’s historic price movements to its volatile downturn over the past week – but he sees the potential for more downside.

According to Rager, Bitcoin’s big pullback in 2013 hit 75%, while its recent fall has hit a relatively tame 42% so far.

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“Bitcoin 2013 market compared to 2019.

2013: Bitcoin bull market pulled back 75% over 89 days before a 1600% run-up to new highs later in the year.

2019: Bitcoin has currently retraced 42% over 91 days.

Price can continue down but expect the bull trend to continue after pullback”

Source: Josh Rager/Twitter

At time of publishing, Bitcoin is down 0.33% at $8,190, according to CoinMarketCap.

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