Early Bitcoin developer Gavin Andresen is outlining a future where BTC rises to a staggering $6,000,000 per coin.
Andresen, who took over as Bitcoin’s lead maintainer from founder Satoshi Nakamoto in 2011, just published a new blog post detailing how BTC’s theoretical evolution could look.
[adinserter block="1"]Andresen describes a “possible” scenario where Bitcoin hits a price tag of $6,000,000 by 2061, transaction fees 326x higher than they are now, and the blockchain is used chiefly by whales.
“Imagine: it is the year 2061. The BTC price is six million US dollars – equal to about a million 2021 dollars because of inflation.
Miners are being rewarded 0.006103515625 BTC per block, plus transaction fees of about 5 BTC for 4,000 or so transactions ($7,500 per transaction).
But most BTC transactions don’t happen on the BTC network. Most BTC is locked up in multi-signature outputs secured using multiparty computation and mirrored on another chain as ‘wrapped’ tokens.”
In his scifi scenario, Andresen says those who do remain on Bitcoin’s network will be incentivized to keep it alive.
“The transactions that do occur on the main BTC network are high-value, mostly between super-whale-size holders…
These whales maintain the BTC network forever. They are the miners and the transaction creators; they don’t care how high transaction fees go, because they receive as many fees as they pay.”
However, Andresen says that by 2100, even those users would likely leave the blockchain.
“In the year 2100 the whales notice that the mining reward is basically zero… Eventually, there are zero new BTC being produced on the BTC network, and zero BTC circulating on the BTC network. There is nothing left to secure, and the chain stops.”
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