Bitcoin may be breaking free from its correlation with the stock market and gearing up for a parabolic 2021, according to a new report from Bloomberg.
The financial news outlet’s latest monthly outlook on crypto calls Bitcoin a “caged bull” that could be on the cusp of a massive long-term breakout.
“Bitcoin may undergo a parabolic 2021, as it did in 2013 and 2017, if previous patterns play out again. New highs are a next potential iteration for the firstborn crypto and may be only a matter of time unless something we don’t foresee trips up the trend of greater adoption and demand vs. constrained supply. Favorable macroeconomics, akin to those buoying gold, supports the digital store-of-value, notably vs. the oversupplied broader crypto market…
Bitcoin may be in early days of ending its constraining relationship with the Nasdaq 100 Stock Index, in our view. Technically, the Bitcoin-to-Nasdaq ratio near 1.2 on Oct. 27 has extended above 1.1 resistance that has held for about a year.”
According to the report, Bitcoin’s resistance at $10,000 may morph into resistance at $20,000 next year.
The report cites Bitcoin’s dwindling supply and ultimate cap of 21 million coins as a key driver placing the leading cryptocurrency on a positive trajectory.
It also names steady BTC buys from the institutional crypto asset manager Grayscale as a factor supporting Bitcoin’s price.
Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone says Bitcoin’s 2020 price action is also reminiscent of 2015, ahead of a bull cycle that ultimately saw BTC rise by 100x.
“2020 Bitcoin may be 2015 launchpad deja-vu. Some key technical indicators portend a strong up-year for Bitcoin in 2021. In 2020, the benchmark crypto dipped below its 50- month moving average and 180-day volatility dropped below 40% at the start of November. This price foundation pair was last matched in 2015 as Bitcoin bottomed near $200; it peaked about 100x higher in 2017.
We see Bitcoin volatility declining with natural maturation and little chance of similar high-velocity appreciation, but the indication is clear: Unless something significant trips it up, the crypto’s price is ripe to advance in the coming years.”
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