Pantera Capital founder and CEO Dan Morehead is doubling down on his bullish 2021 Bitcoin prediction, asserting that the leading crypto asset is still right on track to hit $115,000 by August 2021.
In Pantera’s latest Blockchain Letter, Morehead says that Bitcoin’s price movements, although delayed by week, are playing out exactly as forecast based on the stock-to-flow projection published last year.
“Bitcoin is exactly on track with the forecast we made in our April letter. Our analysis was based on comparing the reduction in the supply/flow of bitcoin relative to the outstanding stock – at the time of each halving – and the subsequent impact on price.”
According to the projections set by Pantera, Bitcoin’s price lagged by as much as 15 weeks in July 2020. In December, Bitcoin began to catch up with Pantera’s projections and by mid-January, the leading cryptocurrency hit the ninth milestone in Pantera’s forecast after climbing to $38,000.
For the next date, February 15th, 2021, Pantera predicts Bitcoin will trade at $45,268.
Pantera makes its projections based on the Bitcoin halving cycle. Historically, Morehead says Bitcoin prices have surged after each halving, which happens every four years.
After the first halving in 2012, Bitcoin’s supply dwindled by a little over 15% in a span of 446 days as block rewards were halved from 50 to 25 BTC. Subsequently, Bitcoin witnessed a rally of 9,212%.
Following the 2016 halving, Bitcoin rallied by 2,910%.
If Bitcoin follows Pantera’s predicted trajectory, Morehead expects BTC to hit its peak in August 2021 with a price of $115,212, rising over 1,091% after the May 2020 halving.
“I’m not saying I’d bet our life savings that’s definitely going to happen, but I think it’s possible, and we’re right on pace to do that.”
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