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PlanB: Bitcoin Bull Market Untouched and in Full Swing

by Daily Hodl Staff
April 20, 2021
in Bitcoin, Trading

Amid the continuing correction in Bitcoin and the broader crypto markets, top analyst PlanB believes that the BTC bull market is far from over.

In a new tweet, the crypto analyst known for being the first to apply the stock-to-flow (S2F) ratio to Bitcoin says that the sell-off that witnessed BTC plunging from $60,000 to $52,000 on April 17th is an event designed to rinse out overleveraged traders.

“In my opinion, just a normal liquidation event, where dumb leveraged longs hand over their coins to smarter and stronger hands. Bull market untouched and in full swing.”

The crypto analyst also highlights Bitcoin’s robust fundamentals, where the supply of BTC continues to drop.

“Bitcoin dipped a bit, but the supply shortage is real… and growing.”

Fellow trader Bitcoin Jack uses charts from crypto insights platform Glassnode to reveal that BTC moved from small hands to big hands after the capitulation event.

April 15, 16 and 17th $BTC saw ~482K addresses deposit to exchanges

Same period ~220K addresses were withdrawn to from exchanges & net positive outflow recorded

Many tiny hands in -> fewer bigger hands out

Confirmed by short term holder SOPR capitulation

Data: @glassnode pic.twitter.com/zXXNpkXHXa

— //Bitcoin ?ack ? (@BTC_JackSparrow) April 19, 2021

Glassnode’s Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) is an indicator that shows whether market participants are selling at a profit or loss. According to Bitcoin Jack’s chart, the SOPR is currently below one, indicating that sellers would be letting go of their BTC at a loss.

In a separate tweet, PlanB notes that Bitcoin’s momentum indicator, the relative strength index (RSI), has yet to hit its peak.

“Bitcoin is looking strong at RSI 92. Still not above RSI 95 like 2017, 2013 and 2011 bull markets. I calculated BTC price needed for RSI 95 at April close: $92,000.”

Image
Source: PlanB/Twitter

If Bitcoin’s RSI continues to hover above 90, PlanB calculates that the leading crypto asset will skyrocket over 450% in the coming months.

“RSI is 92 now and April is the 2nd month >90. If this run continues 4 more months at RSI 92, BTC will be $300,000 in July (not saying this will happen, just what if). In my opinion, after next all-time high (maybe end this year), volatility will return and we can not rule out 50-80% draw down.”

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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