Morgan Stanley says the worst phase of the crypto market cycle appears to be over as Bitcoin (BTC) approaches its halving event in April 2024.
According to the banking giant, crypto spring, or a period of price recovery, is likely in sight.
Morgan Stanley says Bitcoin’s halving, which cuts BTC miners’ block rewards in half, could be what officially signals a new market expansion, but the bank warns that data involving crypto phases are currently limited, and risks remain present.
“Estimates of when exactly the next halving will occur vary, but history indicates it has the potential to occur sometime around April 2024. Based on current data, signs indicate that crypto winter may be in the past and that crypto spring is likely on the horizon…
One key thing to keep in mind: as with any investment, past performance doesn’t indicate future results. Potential risks such as encryption breaking, software bugs, recession or coordinated government action could emerge before the expected halving and disrupt the cycle.”
Last year, former Morgan Stanley CEO John Mack said that in the future, monetary transactions and asset trading will take place digitally on blockchains as life becomes increasingly more reliant on computers.
“Fifty years from now, maybe [digital assets] will be a huge way that monetary transactions take place. It’s easy to wire. You don’t have to worry about putting it into a bank. It’s all on a computer. You got to make sure it’s insulated, protected, and no one can break into it.
But 50 years from now, I think things will be even more electronic and drive more and more by input from humans into computers on how to trade, how to take risks and make sure they don’t go over their limits.”
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