Former Goldman Sachs executive Raoul Pal says that the crypto industry appears to be setting the stage for a bull run to new all-time highs.
In a new ask-me-anything (AMA) session, the Real Vision chief executive and macro guru says that while he expects “chop” in the short term, he’s also anticipating that digital assets to spark the “real run” to record figures later this year.
According to Pal, a combination of the recent approval of spot market Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and BTC’s upcoming halving event – which will see miner rewards cut in half in April – will ultimately push the crypto king and digital assets up after leveraged positions are liquidated.
“All of the preorders [for the ETFs] have now been filled – all of these ETF providers [have been] going to all of their clients, begging them ‘You need to do this’ – everyone’s done that. There’ll be some follow-on next week, a lot of the GBTC (Grayscale Bitcoin Trust) guys are unwinding, and some will wait a few days [to] see if the market is stronger [or] whatever, so that goes on for a while.
You’ve then brought forward a lot of demand. By the end of it, maybe it’s a $1 billion, maybe it’s $2 billion of demand you’ll have brought forward, so then who’s the buyer? You’ve got the people who front ran this, who want to sell, so you’re going to see volatility and I’ve always reminded you guys in the ‘Do-not-f***-this-up’ mantra, part of that is expect 30%-35% pullbacks.
Could be less, but just expect them and that often happens when you get to this kind of 0.618 Fibonacci level in the first leg of the bull run. It often corrects sharply [and] people get washed out. Leverage is cleared out and then the real run starts, and the real run is the run to all-time highs and beyond. That usually starts around the halving, so I’m guessing there’s maybe a month or two of chop.”
Bitcoin is trading for $42,953 at time of writing, a fractional decrease during the last 24 hours.
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