Asset management titan VanEck believes the upcoming US election will spark new highs for Bitcoin (BTC), according to the firm’s head of digital asset research.
In a letter to investors shared by Matthew Sigel on the social media platform X, VanEck says the recent downturn in Bitcoin and other digital assets reflects “spiteful government selling” into relatively thin markets around the 4th of July.
Late last month, the German government began selling off large amounts of its confiscated Bitcoin, and has continued to relentlessly offload its holdings since.
VanEck also notes that BTC rarely trades below its 200-day moving average in bull-market years for more than six weeks, but that if government selling continues and more bad news arises, that rule could be broken.
However, the firm says that several positive catalysts are now brewing for BTC, including a likely soft landing for the US economy, a probable reversal in monetary policy, and the likelihood of a Trump presidency come November.
“Still, with inflation continuing to decelerate and the US economy in the midst of what looks like a soft landing, the long-awaited pivot in monetary policy looks closer. We expect the election to catalyze fresh all-time highs in BTC as the market prices in 4 more years of deficit spending and potentially a friendlier US regulatory backdrop under a Trump administration.
Meanwhile, in emerging and frontier markets, Bitcoin adoption continues with three additional countries (Kenya, Ethiopia and Argentina) all announcing this year they are mining Bitcoin with government-owned energy.
We continue to advocate a dollar cost average strategy to buy Bitcoin up to a target weight, seeing 6% as a reasonable position size for BTC & ETH for most 60/40 benchmarked portfolios.”
At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $55,898.
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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.
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