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Bitcoin Could Explode to $136,000 if Demand Remains Resilient, Says Analytics Firm Glassnode – But There’s a Catch

by Mark Emem
July 19, 2025
in Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC) could go up by around 15% from the current level if demand for the flagship crypto asset remains robust and the market continues in an upward trend, according to analytics platform Glassnode.

The analytics platform says that, based on the short-term holder (STH) cost basis model, the next major resistance level for the crypto king stands below $140,000.

[adinserter block="1"]

The STH cost basis model is an on-chain metric that estimates the average price at which short-term Bitcoin holders acquired their coins. The metric can be used to spot potential entry and exit points.

“Assuming current momentum remains strong, the next key resistance lies at the +2 standard deviation band, which is currently trading around $136,000.”

Source: Glassnode

Glassnode, however, says that while there’s potential for another leg higher for Bitcoin, the flagship crypto asset could form a near-term top as short-term holders are sitting on significant unrealized profits.

“Bitcoin has broken to new [all-time highs] ATHs, and has cleared above two major accumulation zones. This represents a significant market move, which tends to be followed by strong positive momentum.

However, short-term holders, being the more price-sensitive cohort, are now seeing their unrealized profit reaching marginally overheated levels, making the incentive for them to sell and take profit increasingly likely.”

According to Glassnode, the percentage of short-term holder supply of Bitcoin in profit is currently at 95%, seven percentage points above the long-term mean of 88%.

“If this metric begins to stabilize or decline below the 88% level, it could be an early signal of weakening demand or distribution taking hold.”

Source: Glassnode

Bitcoin is trading at $117,810 at time of writing.

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