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October 3, 2025

Citi’s US Equity Strategist Says Firm Is ‘Incrementally More Constructive’ on Small- and Mid-Cap Equities Amid Fed Cuts and Fundamental Growth

By Daily Hodl Staff

A US equity strategist at Citi thinks market dynamics could soon begin to favor the small- and mid-cap (SMID) stocks.

Scott Chronert says in a new interview with CNBC that overall market fundamentals still appear “very solid” on the back of the artificial intelligence (AI) tailwind.

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The equity strategist also argues that the SMID earnings recession is over.

“When we think of small/mid-cap, versus large-cap in particular, [they are] much more traditionally economically sensitive. Ideal time to own small-cap is coming out of a recession. We’re not there. We’re still looking at the soft-landing backdrop. But soft-landing plus lower Fed fund rates does begin to set this up. 

Now, fundamentally, I’d also make the point that small/mid has been in its own form of earnings recession in the past two years. With Q2 results, we had the first positive inflection in earnings growth in that two-year timeframe, and so we’re looking at that persisting going forward.

So a combination of traditional, historic lower rate sensitivity, combined with signs that we’re turning the corner in terms of the fundamental set-up, has us incrementally more constructive on the SMID space.”

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Chronert does note that Citi is reducing its exposure to communication services stock from overweight to market weight.

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