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Analysis: How Long It Takes to Turn a Profit on Bitcoin (BTC)

by Daily Hodl Staff
September 9, 2019
in Bitcoin

[the_ad id=”36860″]

New data is shedding light on how long it takes to ensure a profit on Bitcoin.

According to Twitter analyst Bitcoin Economics, in order to have a 100% profit probability on Bitcoin, traders have to hold it for 1,135 days. That’s a little over three years.

By comparison, it takes an average of 23 years to ensure 100% profitability on the S&P 500.

The analysis is largely based on Bitcoin’s big jump to $1,150 in 2013.

[the_ad id=”36860″]

Traders who bought at that level soon watched BTC plummet, and had to wait 1,135 days until it returned to that value in 2017.

Here’s an overview of how long traders have historically had to wait before achieving a high probability that their Bitcoin has risen in value.

  • After 1 Day: 50%
  • After 35 Days: 60%
  • After 110 Days: 70%
  • After 317 Days: 75%
  • After 461 Days: 80%
  • After 663 Days: 90%
  • After 1,335 Days: 100%
Source: Bitcoin Economics/Twitter

[the_ad id=”36860″]

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any loses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.
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