From an update to a popular Bitcoin prediction model to pushback from Ripple on its sales of XRP, here’s a look at some of the stories breaking in the world of crypto.
The first analyst to apply the stock-to-flow ratio to Bitcoin has pinpointed a key date that will show whether the model is truly an accurate way to predict the price of BTC.
Stock-to-flow is often used to analyze gold. It calculates the supply of a given commodity divided by the amount produced per year in order to predict future value.
When using the ratio to forecast where Bitcoin may be heading, the leading cryptocurrency’s limited supply of 21 million coins becomes a key factor.
Using the model, the outlook from the anonymous analyst Plan₿ indicates BTC could hit $100,000 sometime around the year 2021 and break $1 million around 2025.
In a new interview with Real Vision, Plan₿ says we’ll know if the model is accurate or a bust if BTC reaches $100,000 by the end of 2021.
“Well, if we look at the stock-to-flow model, the only thing I can take from that is that taking the co-integration into account is that somewhere between a year and a year and a half after the halving.
So, say before Christmas of 2021, Bitcoin should be – should have been – above $100,000. If that’s not the case then all bets are off and it probably breaks down. I don’t expect it to happen, but that’s the big test that’s going. And I think a lot of people are waiting for that.”
Plan₿ says he thinks gold investors are taking a close look at Bitcoin’s performance and potential to become a so-called digital form of gold.
But not everyone is feeling bullish on BTC. Gold bug and CEO of Euro Pacific Capital Peter Schiff says he believes Bitcoin is set for a big breakdown to less than $2,000.
The Bitcoin chart looks horrible. Not only does the flag that followed the recent breakdown project a move to $6K, but we are close to completing the right shoulder of a head and shoulders top, with a $14K head, and neck line just below $8K, that projects a collapse to below $2K!
— Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) October 19, 2019
OpenLaw, which has created an Ethereum-based protocol for executing legal agreements, says it’s partnering with Thomson Reuters.
The companies will test a proof of concept that blends Thomson Reuters’s document automation service Contract Express with blockchain technology.
“The POC included executing smart contracts ‘on-chain’ from data inputted through Contract Express. In effect, it means that Thomson Reuters could be offering clients – perhaps at some point in the future – a smart contract capability, via OpenLaw.
You could call this ‘Smart Contract Express’. The move, albeit a POC, indicates a growing level of seriousness with which major legal market players are taking smart contract and blockchain technology.”
Ripple and XRP
Ripple is pushing back against accusations that its sales of XRP have kept the price of the third-largest cryptocurrency from rising in 2019.
“Nearly half (49%) of all conversations alleging Ripple ‘made XRP price fall’ came from bot accounts.
Bottom line—Ripple cannot control XRP price. XRP is traded on a fully functioning and independent digital asset market, including over 140 exchanges, in which Ripple plays a very limited role.”
Ripple says it sold $16.12 million worth of XRP on crypto exchanges in the third quarter of this year, down from $144.64 million in the previous quarter.