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Bullish Bitcoin (BTC) On-Chain Signal Flips for First Time Since August 2021: Analyst Will Clemente

by Daily Hodl Staff
August 24, 2022
in Bitcoin

Popular on-chain analyst Will Clemente says an important Bitcoin (BTC) metric has flipped bullish for the first time in a year.

Clemente tells his 658,400 Twitter followers that a shift is taking place for Bitcoin and its miners.

“Bitcoin’s hash ribbons have flashed a buy signal for the first time since August 2021, marking the end of a two+ month-long period of miner capitulation and deep pressure on miner’s margins.”

Image
Source: Glassnode

Bitcoin hash ribbons attempt to identify periods of time when Bitcoin miners are distressed and could be capitulating, according to on-chain analytics firm LookIntoBitcoin.

Clemente notes the indicator is based on moving averages of hash rate, which he says “is of course dependent in some capacity on price for profitability.”

“There have been several mini capitulatory periods (see for yourself below) but hash ribbons have offered good signals overall.

I like them because similar to the Puell Multiple, they’re simple and based on first principles around miner profitability. This indication means miners are plugging in again, raising BTC’s production cost.”

Image
Source: Glassnode

While the hash ribbons for BTC are suggesting easing selling pressure from miners, Clemente warns the US Dollar Index (DXY) is in a strong uptrend.

“DXY screaming higher – can’t even draw a proper parabola. Looks too ridiculous.”

Image
Source: Will Clemente/Twitter

Popular crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen notes that Bitcoin has historically been inversely correlated with the US Dollar Index.

“Now a lot of times, when you see the dollar going up, it’s sort of like a wrecking ball: it makes most other things go down. Generally, you could view it as people fleeing into the relative safety of the US dollar.”

BTC is trading at $21,218 at time of writing.

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