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Bitcoin Indicator Flashing November 2022-Style Bottom Signal, According to Crypto Analyst

by Daily Hodl Staff
August 7, 2024
in Bitcoin

A closely followed crypto analyst says that one key indicator is flashing a similar bottom signal for Bitcoin (BTC) as it did in November 2022.

In a new strategy session, crypto trader Ali Martinez tells his 68,900 followers on the social media platform X that Bitcoin’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) is the lowest since after the FTX crypto exchange collapse.

[adinserter block="1"]

The MVRV is the ratio of a crypto asset’s market capitalization relative to its realized capitalization or the value of all the coins at the price they were bought. When the MVRV value drops below zero, it indicates that the asset is oversold as traders who bought it at a certain time frame are witnessing losses.

“The Bitcoin MVRV ratio (30-day) hasn’t been this low since November 2022, right after the FTX collapse. That period marked a bottom and an excellent buying opportunity.”

Image
Source: Ali Martinez/X

The analyst also says that pricing bands derived from the MVRV ratio indicate Bitcoin needs to hold $54,000 as support in order to mount a rally to $67,000.

“Based on the Bitcoin MVRV pricing bands, BTC needs to reclaim $54,000 as support to prevent a drop to $40,000. If the $54,000 support holds, the key resistance on the upside for BTC is $67,000!”

Image
Source: Ali Martinez/X

Bitcoin is trading for $56,448 at time of writing, up more than 3% in the last 24 hours.

The analyst also accurately predicted a Solana (SOL) recovery to the $140 range based on the formation of a W pattern, a bullish reversal indicator used by technical analysts.

“Solana appears to form a ‘W’ pattern on the lower time frames. A sustained close above $125 could see SOL rebound to $142. I’m placing my stop-loss at $117!”

Image
Source: Ali Martinez/X

Solana is trading for $147 at time of writing, up nearly 12% in the last 24 hours.

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